This report is an update of the previous trend scenarios, such as the “European energy and transport - Trends to 2030” published in 2003 and its 2005 and 2007 updates. Two scenarios, the Baseline 2009 (finalised in December 2009) and the Reference scenario (April 2010) are presented.
The scenarios were derived with the PRIMES model by a consortium led by the E3MLab of National Technical University of Athens, supported by some more specialised models (e.g. GEM-E3 model that has been used for projections for the value added by branch of activity and PROMETHEUS model that has been deployed for projections of world energy prices). The scenarios are available for the EU and each of its 27 Member States simulating the energy balances for future years under current trends and policies as implemented in the Member States by April 2009.
For more information you can download the following related file: